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Are we at the bottom yet?

Wednesday, August 25th, 2010

After several sell-off days with low volume, the buyers seem to be coming back.  I bought SPY at 105.22, sold 27-Aug 106 calls at 0.58. Breakeven is 104.64. Maximum profit is $1.36 per share.

Livevol shows the 27-Aug 106 IV’s at 28 and the 18-Sept monthly IV for the 106 calls at 24.  Right now, Livevol’s IV numbers are the only ones I believe for the CBOE Weeklys options.

SPY covered call with protective puts

Sunday, August 15th, 2010

The biggest downside of covered calls is their lack of downside protection on the underlying.   A big, but not unusually big correction can wipe out many months worth of profits.   One strategy for reducing this exposure is to buy puts, but when I have looked into this strategy in the past the puts were either so expensive they ate up all the profits, or they were so far out of the money that they didn’t offer much protection.   I have found that the best way to really appreciate the strengths and weaknesses of a strategy is to have money at stake, so I started to look for a good situation to do some hedging on a covered call position.

Last Monday, August 9th I felt there was a higher than normal risk of a market pullback,  but there was still the opportunity for making some good profits on the weekly options. Some downside protection seemed like a good idea, and the OTM 111 puts were attractively priced at 0.35.    Late on the 9th  I bought  SPY at 113.01, sold-to-open 13-Aug 113 calls at 0.90, and bought  13-Aug 111 puts 0.35.   Maximum profit on this trade was 0.55 per share, and worst case loss was  1.46.   I had given up 39% of the profit to decrease the downside risk from essentially the entire value of the underlying to 1.46 per share.   Since there was only 4 days left on this trade the remaining  0.48% profit potential was still attractive.

The market dropped off sharply on the 10th.  In cases like this I will often buy back the calls.   If  I think the market is going to keep going down I’ll then sell ATM calls to harvest more premium, or if I think there will be a bounce back  I’ll wait to re-sell the calls, hoping to sell them again at a higher price than I just bought them back at.   In this case I bought back the 13-Aug 113 calls at .53, and later in the day resold them for .79 when the market did rebound a bit.

Wednesday the market really blew off.  I bought back my 13-Aug 113 calls at  0.12 and quickly sold 13-Aug 111 calls at 0.61 which I bought back later in day for 0.39.

Thursday I sold 13-Aug 110 calls at 0.22 and bought them back later at 0.13

Friday I closed out the position early because I was not going to be able to monitor the position the rest of the day, selling the SPY at 108.61 (down 4.40 per share)  and selling the 13-Aug 111 puts at 2.22 (up 1.87 per share)– I left about 0.2 on the table with the puts because I didn’t wait until near close to sell them.

In spite of all my call maneuvererings (which were all profitable)  I was still down 1.18 per share, compared to the worst case loss of 1.46 from just holding the position.   If I had not purchased  the puts I would have been down 3.5 per share,  almost triple the loss I ended up with.

Six hours to go

Friday, August 6th, 2010

Update

Well, I was clearly wrong about people not being in panicky mood.   Around 10:30 EST the market decided to take another leg down and the VIX did spike up quite a bit.   Later in the day the market rallied back to around the point I created this position.    I bailed out of my position less than an hour after I created it, before the leg down,  because I didn’t like the way the market was acting. Took a net profit of 0.26 per share and was glad to have it when the market tanked a few minutes later.

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This morning’s job report, while worse than predicted, was hardly evidence for Armageddon so I think the early market blow off is probably most of the action for the day.  The relatively small blip in VIX confirms that people are not in a panicky mood–besides, who wants to panic on an August Friday?

I like creating covered call positions when the underlying is right at the strike price.  The ATM calls have their maximum premium at that point, an underlying move in either direction decreases the premium.   I bought SPY at 112.01 and sold 112 strike calls (weekly options expiring today) at 0.50.   Break even is 111.51, and the best case profit is 0.49  (.43%).

The gamma certainly is high on expiration day.  SPY is now at 112.45 and the 112 option premium is down to 0.20.

Two days to go

Thursday, August 5th, 2010

I’ve been staying out of the market (except for USO), because I think the possibility of a pullback is fairly high.    However, with two days to go on the SPY Weekly 6-August options (which are showing IVs in the 30s)  things started looking attractive.   I created an ITM covered call position, buying SPY at 112.45 and selling 111 strike calls at 1.84.   I did sequential orders, with the SPY buy being a market order, and then a limit order to sell the calls.    SPY did a nice little up move after I bought the stock, I was going to put in an order at 1.74, but after a few minutes I was able to get a fill at 1.84.  Break even on this position is  SPY at 110.61, best case profit is 0.39 per share (0.35%) which will occur if SPY closes at 111 or above tomorrow.

Recap on SPY weeklies —and some observations

Friday, July 30th, 2010

After creating a position with SPY on Wednesday at 111.07  I added to my covered calls on Thursday, buying SPY at 110.12, selling 110 strike calls  at 0.71.   At one point this morning (Friday) , when SPY was off to about 109.5 my 111 strike calls had dropped from Wednesday’s 0.83 to 0.08.   These strong moves are characteristic of options with only a little time left on them.   With so little premium left on these options I decided to close them out and hope the bounce happening at that point would continue.

SPY obliged, and when it reached the 110 to 110.1 range I re-established my short call position with 110 strike calls at 0.49.   This move capped my upside, but lowered my break even on that lot of stock from 110.22 down to 109.81.   I wasn’t optimistic that SPY would recover all the way back to 111 today, and I prefer to have my stock called away so that I don’t have any exposure to weekend events.

SPY closed at 110.27, so all my stock will be called away.  Most of my 0.375 / share profit came from the Thursday position established at 110.12, but I was pretty pleased to still make a profit on my Wednesday 111.07 SPY purchase—compliments of the small insurance policy provided by the call premiums.

I like the way that short term options provide a little cushion against contrary moves, plus generating respectable returns if the underlying goes up or sideways.  The option time premium eroding away gives me an incentive to stick with a position, rather than being tempted to take quick, small profits, or bail out when the market turns ugly.

I really don’t like the asymmetrical risk behavior of covered calls—it severely limits your upside, while providing only a small amount of down side protection.   The good news is that your overall time exposure on the weekly calls is short and if the market really turns ugly your (now) OTM calls will be pretty cheap, even with elevated IV,  if you decide to completely close out your position.

More SPY weeklies while Schwab plays catch-up

Wednesday, July 28th, 2010

Update 3-Feb-2011:  Schwab recently added weekly  and quarterly option support to all their trading platforms.  See here for more information.

Update:  In March 2011 Schwab plans to introduce StreetSmart Edge™, their new flagship trading platform.   Among other things this platform will include, “Major options trading improvements, including the ability to trade weekly and quarterly options.”

When SPY dropped to 111 this morning I started feeling better about writing some calls.  All my weekly options from last week were assigned and I was not unhappy about being in cash earlier this week.   I bought SPY at 111.07 and wrote SPY 111 calls at .85 —they expire Friday.  My breakeven point is 110.22 and my best case profit is .78 per share  which is 0.7% on my investment.

I called the Schwab options desk recently (877-673-7959) and they said that they do plan to offer weekly options, but not for a while.   The person I talked to said it would probably be a month or two.

Playing the weeklies…

Monday, July 19th, 2010

Created a covered call position today with SPY at 106.89 and 107 SPY calls expiring this Friday–the 23rd.   The calls sold (to open) at 1.18, giving a 1.2% best case profit for the week if SPY closes Friday above 107.   Fidelity supports trading these weekly options, but apparently Schwab does not.

Weekly options for the masses–SPY, QQQQ, IWM, DIA and others

Wednesday, July 7th, 2010

Anyone that trades options knows that the pace quickens the last few days before expiration.   The delta (the change in option price relative to the underlying)  for the ATM option is still around .5, but instead of gradual changes for the deltas on the strikes in / out of the money, the curve starts resembling a step function, going from zero for out-of-the-money, to one for in-the-money at expiration.   The time decay of the option premium (theta) also accelerates, with perhaps 50% of the decay in the last month happening in the last week of the option’s life.

Taken from http://www.option911.com/blog/option-education/how-option-time-premium-decays-over-the-weekend/, click to enlarge

All of this is of course modulated by any changes in the volatility of the underlying, and the market in general.

Some traders avoid options close to expiration because of these factors–and others flock to them.    As a covered call writer I am really attracted to the accelerated time decay of short term options.   I’m not taking any more risk than normal holding the underlying, and I am getting an accelerated decay in the price of the options I am short on.    I will often wait until there is only two or three weeks are remaining on the options to create the position.

Now it can be expiration week, every week for the following Stocks / ETFs (taken from this CBOE posting):

Weeklys on Exchange Traded Funds and equities. As of July 5, 2010, these included the following::

  • SPY – Standard & Poor’s Depositary Receipts
  • QQQQ – Nasdaq-100 Index Tracking Stock
  • IWM – iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund
  • GLD – Options on SPDR® Gold Shares
  • XLF – Financial Select Sector SPDR
  • EEM – iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index
  • C – Citigroup Inc
  • BAC – Bank of America Corp
  • AAPL – Apple Inc
  • BP – BP PLC
  • F – Ford
  • GOOG – Google Inc.

I know that Fidelity and Schwab suppors trading onweekly options.   Beware of the listed greeks on these options, the software may not be using the correct time until expiration.

The volume, at least on the SPY weeklies has been substantial (20K today on the 105′s expiring 9-July), so I think the options providers have a winner.

For more information see this options clearing house post.

SPY dividend capture–June 2010

Wednesday, June 16th, 2010

I bought SPY at 111.64, and sold-to-open SPY 108 June-30 expiration calls at 4.08 for a net investment (debit) of  107.58.     I used the quarterly SPY options because I could go considerably deeper in the money with the calls and still get a premium that is close to the likely SPY dividend for this quarter  (around $0.50).   Schwab does not appear to offer access to this series of  options, but Fidelity does.

If SPY stays above 111 through this Thursday I expect these options will be assigned–because the premium left on the calls will be less than the dividend the stock will payout.   Friday is the ex-dividend date for SPY.   If the calls are assigned I’ll collect $0.42 per share.     If the options are not assigned, I will collect the SPY dividend–lowering my breakeven point to around 107.08.

For more info on this dividend capture strategy see this post

More on SPY

Tuesday, May 18th, 2010

Bought SPY at 114.69, sold-to-open 116 May calls at .58