How to go long on the VIX index

Monday, April 22nd, 2013 | Vance Harwood
 

Unlike the S&P 500 or Dow Jones Industrial Index there’s no way to directly invest in the CBOE’s VIX® index.  Some really smart people have tried to figure out a way, but there’s just no way to do it directly with something like a VIX index fund.  Instead, you have to invest in a security that attempts to track VIX.  None of them do a great job.  The rest of this post discusses going long on volatility, if you think volatility is going to go down see Going Short on the VIX.

For the average investor there are five ways to go long on VIX:

  1. Buy a leveraged exchange traded product (ETP) that tends to track the daily percentage moves of the VIX index.  At the moment the best of these from a short term tracking standpoint is ProShares’  UXVY and Citigroup’s CVOL.
  2. Buy Barclays’ VXX (short term) or VXZ (medium term) Exchange Traded Note (ETN) or one of their competitors that have jumped into this market.   See volatility tickers for a full list of volatility ETN/ETFs. For more on VXX see How Does VXX Work?
  3. Buy VXX or VXZ call options  ( ProShares VIXY and VIXM have options also)
  4. Buy UVXY options (2X leveraged version of the short term rolling futures index used by VXX)
  5. Buy VIX call options / short VIX put options


Aggressive

The first two choices are not for the faint of heart.  VIX’s moves are often extreme, so if you bet wrong you can lose money in a big hurry (think 15% or more in a 24 hour period), of course there is the equivalent upside if you get it right.  In my opinion these are tools for day traders that stay stuck to their screens and have have an excellent sense for market direction.   Unless the market is in a sustained high fear mode (e.g., Aug 2011 through Oct 2011) these funds will often erode dramatically over a multi-day period.   But if you are looking for the best ETN/ETF to track the VIX short term moves this is as good as it gets.

Unlike CVOL and TVIX, ProShares’ UXVY, is an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), not the more typical ETN.  The good news is that the financial backing of an ETF, unlike an ETN is not dependent on the credit worthiness of the  provider because they are guaranteed to be backed by the appropriate futures/swaps.  The bad news is that those futures change the tax status of the fund to be a section 1256 fund—which requires filing a K1 form with your tax returns.  Typically this is not a big deal, but requires a little extra work.

While these funds do a respectable job of tracking the VIX on a daily basis they will not track it one to one.  These funds are constructed using VIX volatility futures that aren’t constrained to follow the VIX—sometimes they are lower than the VIX, sometimes higher.   The VIX index tends to drop on Fridays and rise on Mondays due to holiday effects in the SPX options underlying the VIX—the VIX futures don’t track these moves and hence the ETPs don’t track them either.


Mainstream

The second choice, buying non-leveraged volatility ETNs like VXX,  is not as twitchy, but be aware that the VXX will definitely lag the VIX index (think molasses), and it is also not suitable as a long term holding because the VIX futures that the fund tracks are usually decreasing in value over time.  This drag, called roll loss occurs when the futures are in contango.  It usually extracts 5% to 10% a month out of VXX’s price.  Proshares has an ETF version,VIXY, that tracks the same index as VXX—if you’d rather use an ETF for playing the VIX this way.

Some VXX closing values compared to the VIX index:

  • Its first day of trading, 30-Jan-09, VXX closed at a reverse split adjusted  1673.28, the VIX index closed at 44.95
  • December 2009 VXX had dropped to 608, a  63% decline, compared to the 50% drop in the VIX index value to 22.
  • 8-September-2010, VXX closed at 308, VIX at 23.25.
  • 12-January-2011, VXX closed at 133 v.s. a VIX value of 16.24.
  • 9-March-2012, VXX closed at 88.96, VIX at 17.11
  • 6-February-2013 VXX closed at 23.55, VIX at 13.41

VXX since inception vs VIX index



This is a substantial tracking error.  Given its dismal track record it is surprising that VXX usually trades over 50 million shares a day.   I think the allure comes from its reliable negative correlation with the equity markets (-3x).  If SPY has a significantly down day, you can be pretty confident VXX will have a good day—unlike some investments like gold.


Options

On June 1st 2010 options on VXX were introduced and became almost immediately successful.   I think retail investors flocked to them because they lacked most of the VIX option weirdities—such as European exercise, different expiration dates, VRO based settlement values, and greeks that are generally wrong.   VXX options have VXX as the underlying, which avoids the perpetual confusion associated with VIX options where volatility futures are the actual underlying not the VIX index.  VXX weekly options are also available.

UVXY options are relatively new, and quite expensive due to the volatility of the ETF, but if want to increase your leverage, or reduce your capital exposure they are a possibility.

The fifth option, buying VIX options, is no more difficult than buying equity options.  Unfortunately they too lag the VIX index because they are also tied to VIX futures, not the VIX index.  In addition to their sluggish performance, they have these other issues:
  • The bid / ask spreads are huge!  Never pay what is offered, use limit orders and split the bid/ask prices (e.g., if the spread is 3.40/3.80 and you want to buy, offer 3.60 or 3.70 with a limit order.)  More on trading VIX options here.
  • The VIX options are European exercise, unlike most equity options—practically this means the VIX options will predictably match (approximately) the VIX index, only once a month—the moment they expire.
  • The posted greeks (delta, gamma, etc.,) are almost always wrong.  See more here.
  • Like all options, their premium value erodes with time, especially as you approach expiration.

If you want to go long on the VIX index you are probably hoping to speculate on its big swings, or you are trying to hedge your portfolio against big, sharp declines.    If you want to speculate, be prepared to move in a  hurry—the VIX drops quickly once the market angst subsides.   Most of the action is over in a few days.  If you want to hedge I’d avoid these securities and look at  long term out of the money puts.  Being long volatility is expensive if you are trying to get enough leverage to protect a significant portfolio.


Getting the correct greeks for VIX options

Thursday, February 7th, 2013 | Vance Harwood
 

Most software packages that report option Greeks (e.g., delta, gamma, theta, implied volatility) report incorrect values for VIX options (LIVEVOL is a notable exception). Depending on the date and state of the market they can vary from almost correct to widely wrong–giving truly nonsense numbers.  These packages assume that  the VIX index is the underlying for the VIX options.   This is wrong.   The true underlying is the corresponding VIX future for that month (e.g., January VIX futures for January VIX options).

Read More


Thirteen Things You Should Know About Trading VIX options

Tuesday, May 21st, 2013 | Vance Harwood
 

If you want to trade options on fear there are few things you should know:

  1. Your brokerage account needs to be a margin account, and you need to sign up for options trading.   There are various levels of option trading available (e.g., the first level allows covered calls).  My experience is that to trade VIX options you will need to be authorized to trade at the second level.  These levels vary from brokerage to brokerage, so you will have to ask what is required to be long  VIX options.  If you are just getting into options trading this is as high as you want to go anyway. Selling naked calls for example is not something for a rookie to try.
  2. No special permissions are required from your broker for VIX options. In general the same sort of restrictions (e.g., selling naked calls) that apply to your equity option trading will apply here.
  3. Calendar spreads aren’t allowed (at least within my account, with my level of trading). The software didn’t prevent my entering the order, but the order was cancelled once I entered it and I got a call from the broker—ok, what did I do now?  The reason for this restriction is because the options from different months don’t track each other well. More on that later.
  4. The option greeks  for VIX options (e.g. Implied Volatility, Delta, Gamma) shown  by most brokers are wrong (LIVEVOL is a notable exception).  Most brokers assume the VIX index is the underlying security for the options, in reality the next to expire volatility future contract is the underlying.   To compute the correct greeks yourself go to this post.
  5. Because the underlying for VIX options is the futures contract, the options prices do not track the VIX especially well.  A big spike on the VIX will be underrepresented, and likewise a big drop probably will not be followed especially close either.   This is huge deal. It is very frustrating to predict the behavior of the market, and not be able to cash in on it.  The only time the VIX options and VIX are guaranteed to line up is on the morning of expiration.
  6. The VIX options are European exercise. That means you can’t exercise them until the day they expire. There is no effective limit on how low the prices can go on the VIX options until the exercise day.
  7. Expiring In-the-Money VIX options give a cash payout.
  8. The expiration or “print” amount when VIX options expire is given under the ^VRO symbol (Yahoo) or $VRO (Schwab).   This is the expiration value, not the opening cash VIX on the Wednesday morning of expiration.
  9. VIX options do not expire on the same days as equity options. It is always on the Wednesday, before or after the equity options. See this post for upcoming expirations.  Since the VIX is derived from SPX index options having the two options types expiring on the same day would have been asking for trouble.
  10. The bid-ask spreads on VIX options tend to be very wide (e.g., 0.5) .   I have always been able to do at least .1 better than the published prices–always use limit orders. If you have time start halfway between the bid-ask and increment your way towards the more expensive side for you.
  11. I don’t recommend you start trading options on VIX if you aren’t an experienced option trader. If you are a newbie trade something sane like SPY options first…
  12. The VIX is not like a stock, it naturally declines from peaks. This means its IV will always decline over time. VIX options as a result will often have lower IVs for longer term options—not something you see often with equities.
  13. The CBOE reports that trading hours are: 7:30am to 4:15pm Eastern time, but in reality the options do not trade until after the first VIX “print”-when the VIX value in calculated from the first SPX options transactions. The first VIX quote of the day is usually at least a minute after opening.

 


FAQ on VIX, the “Fear Index”

Monday, February 18th, 2013 | Vance Harwood
 
  • Why do they call the VIX Index the “Fear Index” or “Fear Gauge”
    • Because the VIX almost always goes up when the market goes down. The scarier the decline the higher the VIX tends to go. In the worst part of the 2008/2009 bear market it went as high as 80. In strong bull markets it historically bounces between 10 and 15.
  • How can I get quotes for the VIX?
    • For Yahoo Finance use ^VIX
    • For Schwab use $VIX
    • For Fidelity use VIX
    • Google Finance use INDEXCBOE:VIX
    • For VIX options quotes—check your broker’s home page, Yahoo Finance (where they seem to come and go), or here
  • How can I buy or short the VIX Index?
    • You can’t short VIX directly.  It is a computed index like the Dow Jones Industrial Average, but instead of stocks this index is related to option prices on the S&P 500 index (SPX). As the options get relatively pricier the VIX index goes higher.
    • You can short VIX indirectly, with proxies that correlate fairly well with the VIX index.  See “Going short on VIX” for details.
  • Is there any way to speculate on the VIX?
    • You can buy options and futures on the VIX. I have not done futures trading on the VIX, but I have done VIX options. While not inherently riskier than options on stocks, these options have some unusual wrinkles and characteristics that you should know about. For example the VIX options typically don’t follow the VIX itself all that well on most days—they tend to not drop as rapidly as the VIX index itself, or climb as fast. This can be really frustrating! In addition the “spread”—the difference between the cost to buy and to sell is quite high on these options. This is never in your favor–this makes it harder to make a profit, but be aware you don’t have the pay the listed prices, you can often buy or sell close to the midpoint of these two prices.
    • There are also multiple ETNs (Exchange Traded Note) and ETFs that are intended to track the VIX index. See Volatility Tickers for a complete list. These trade like stocks (however sometimes they are hard to short).   VXX doesn’t do a particularly good job of tracking the VIX.  It doesn’t jump as much as the VIX in scary times, and structurally it is fated to lose value over time.   It is best suited for short term positions.  See “How to go long on VIX.
    • In addition, XIV is an ETN that is designed to deliver the inverse daily return of  VXX.  This is a good choice when you think the VIX index is going to drop.  See here for more information.
  • Why don’t VIX options track the VIX?
    • For a typical options marketplace to function the option market makers need to be able to buy or sell the thing the options are based on (this is called the “underlying”).  So far no one has figured out how to make the VIX index investible—it is a computed index that can’t be cost effectively replicated in the real world.  Since the VIX index isn’t practical as an underlying VIX options are based on volatility futures that are traded on commodity exchanges.   These volatility futures typically lag the VIX index in both directions, up and down.
    • In normal situations the next volatility future to expire will move about 50% of the VIX index (e.g., if the VIX increases 4% the futures will probably move about 2%).
    • To track the price of the VIX options underlying future for a given month, look at the $10 strike call for that month, split the bid/ask price and add 10.  That will give you a good estimate of the current future’s price.

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VIX quotes, options chains, and correct greeks for VIX options

Monday, January 21st, 2013 | Vance Harwood
 

You can get free delayed VIX option quotes at freerealtime.com or Yahoo Finance using the ^VIX symbol.  Go to here for options calenders giving the correct expiration dates (always last trading on a Tuesday, expiration on a Wednesday morning)

Schwab uses $VIX as the ticker symbol, Fidelity uses VIX, Yahoo uses ^VIX.

VIX Settlement values (the price used to evaluate loss/gain at expiration) use symbol VRO  (^VRO for Yahoo, $VRO for Schwab).

The option Greeks (e.g., delta, gamma, theta) and computed IVs for VIX options are computed incorrectly on most broker’s software packages because they incorrectly use the VIX index instead of the appropriate VIX future month as the underlying.  I go through the steps in computing the correct Greeks yourself in this post.