No, the VIX is Not Broken

Hardly a month goes by without some pundit trumpeting that the VIX is broken. But before you worry too much, consider some of the non-obvious characteristics of the Cboe’s Fear Gauge. First a Summary These charts list possible explanations for perceived VIX “brokenness” Complaint Market in Low Volatility State (21-day std dev close-to-close log returns < 10%) Market in High Volatility State VIX too high …

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Deciding What to do Next

Years ago I had a meeting with my manager regarding three projects that I was responsible for. Each of the projects had considerable technical problems, tight deadlines, and were short on resources. In the course of the conversation, I asked my boss what his priorities were on the projects. He said all three projects had number one priority. Aargh… Absent useful guidance from others, how …

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