Many software packages that report option Greeks (e.g., delta, gamma, theta, implied volatility) report incorrect values for VIX options (Fidelity, Schwab, Ameritrade , LIVEVOL and Barchart (free subscription) are notable exceptions). Depending on the date and state of the market they can vary from almost correct to widely wrong–giving truly nonsense numbers. These packages assume that the VIX index is the underlying for the VIX options. This is wrong. The best underlying to use is the corresponding VIX future for that month (e.g., January VIX futures for January VIX options).
Projections for 2010
As much as I wish there was a system that we could turn the crank and make lots of money on the markets, I think the market is too good for that to work. We are reduced to educated guesswork. Some guesses: The S&P 500 will move from its astonishing trendline to a slightly down trending sideways market for 6 months before it starts moving …