Tracking the VIX Index—TVIX and UVXY Are Close

For a long time investors have been frustrated in their desire to directly invest in the VIX index.  Now three ETNs, one by design, and the two other perhaps by accident are tracking (or out-performing) the VIX index on both a daily percentage move basis and for multi-day holding times. Historically the daily percentage moves of short term (1/2 month) volatility ETNs like VXX tend …

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How Does Barclays’ XVZ ETN Work?

Barclays’ XVZ volatility ETN is intended to allow investors to profit from volatility jumps without the contango losses that drag down approaches like Barclays’ VXX short term and VXZ medium term long only products.   To accomplish this XVZ switches between 11 different mixes of short term and medium term positions in volatility futures.  In volatile times there can be a different setting every day. The …

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XIV during the 2008 Crash

XIV has only existed since November 2010, so we are dependent on simulations for guesses on its performance before that.   The index that XIV is based on goes back into the 2005 time frame, so I have the data I need to backtest XIV for the 2008 crash.    My simulations show a close  match to actual XIV values (see this post) so I have …

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Is XIV behaving correctly?

In spite of its name, XIV is not the inverse of the VIX index—it is the daily percentage inverse of an index called SPVXSP, which you can monitor on Bloomberg here.  This index very closely tracks the same index that VXX uses, SPVXSTR. Last week XIV did not track VXX’s daily moves particularly well.   There has been a lot of speculation about what was causing …

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Betting on contango

This morning I put a credit spread in place, selling  August VIX $15S calls and buying $47.5S calls for a net credit of $18.2.   The underlying for these calls is the August volatility futures—not the VIX itself.  The effective price of the underlying for these options was about $34 at the time.    The VIX was around 42. Normally the shortest term volatility futures are cheaper …

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